Previous quality winners-

Let's Elope had 51, Jeune had 56.5, M&P had 56, Saintly had 55.5, Vintage crop had 55.5.

Is Northerly better than those previous winners by several kgs??? I think not.

He would be no hope with 58kgs. Imagine Sunline with 58kgs over 3200m? She'd finished close to last.

Is Northerly 7 kgs betyter than LE? No
Is " 1.5kgs better than J? No
Is " 2kgs better than M&P? No
Is " 2.5kgs better than Saintly? No
Is " 2.5kgs better than VC? No


Every horse with 57kgs or more in this year's cup have no hope of winning - that includes Vinnie Roe 59, Northerly 58, Marienbard 57, Sky Heights 57. The best they can hope for is a placing behind one of the lightweights.