Vinnie Roe may well may a great horse but consider this -

1 He's got to travel 000's of kms to get here.
2 He has never raced in Australia.
3 He has to break a 30yr weight carrying record to win with 59kgs
4 Australia staying races are much different to overseas races

Other than Think Big, no horse has carried 57.5kgs or more to win the MC in the past 30 years, so 57.5kgs is a fair weight.

Every year we are told that UK horses are superior. Every year they flop or run a place at best. Remember Oscar Schindler, he was being rapped as unbeatable and he got flogged.

I would make a killing if I went into the bookmaking business, because I understand the relevance of weight. Most punters don't.