Thread: Betting to Win
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Old 4th September 2002, 07:05 PM
Fryingpan Fryingpan is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
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Hello Luckylast and everyone

I haven't done much in the way of long term analysis with this one, but it did occur to me a while back and then I mysteriously dropt it out of my head and action.

I thought this.
1) The handicapper is recorded to be good at selecting at least 15-20% of winners in TAB No 1 as a winner.
2) Tipsters assess each race as they see it.
3) Latemail is another assessment of the same race done by someone else
4) TABQ ratings especially 97-100 do gather the winners in a bigger proportion.

So I went ahead and said, "what if you combine them all so that each with their own manner arrives at TAB no1 along with the handicapper?"

With rule number 4 I also said, 97-100 is ok, but if the rating is say 95 or 94 so long as it is one of the top two rated horses that qualifies as a worthy consideration.

With Rule number 2 I used the 2ky race callers first pick. These and the latemail are on the race pages of each race on the TABQ site.


Today Wednesday I combed through the races and the results for selections that pass the above rules were...(unitab)

Wyong
R4 1 Full on Magic 1st $3.20 $1.50
R6 1 Conair 3rd $1.50

Doomben
R1 Raffute 1st $3.20 and $1.50
R2 Riverina Treasure 2nd $1.20

Belmont
R2 Dancing Tycoon 3rd $1.50
R6 1 Cary Kali 1st $2.40 $1.30

So for punters it might be a good candidate for the all up place stakers. Or perhaps an elongated $1/6 win/place sort of bet.

Anyone with ability to analyse the above for a longer term perspective I'd be interested in what you find.





[ This Message was edited by: Fryingpan on 2002-09-04 19:06 ]
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