Dr Ron.
Certainly a logical,but extremely complicated approach.
But I suggest a more simpler manner would be to suss out Mug Punta's thread.
He's hot at the minute and was hot last year.
But be careful when he gets too cocky.Thems the time to give it a wide berth.
You can recognize those tips by when you can picture him jumping up and down and demanding that you back the selection!