15th March 2005, 03:36 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 160
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Update and Day 7
Update
Bet 37; Won 28; Lost 9.
At Flat Stakes; Bet 37, Won 11.42; ROI 30.8%
A relatively good day at the office - Vaidisova let us down but I still think she'll be a good betting prospect over the next few months. Dechy did just enough to beat Stosur in a nailbiter while Kirkland won but played quite poorly.
The wind was really blowing today with quite a few players complaining about the effect it had on their serve. If the wind continues it will probably hamper players who rely on a big serve to win games. Are the conditions having similar effects on the ATP players?
Martinez v Kirilenko
Indian wells
Both players have made us money over the past few weeks so it's always "hard" to tip against one of them. However Martinez should be too good for Kirilenko on the day. As Pierce showed yesterday experience counts, and Martinez has been a professional player for 17 years while Kirilenko is only 17-years-old. The Spaniard has great variety in her game - slices, spins, looping topspins, drop shots - that often confuse younger players. As Martinez herself says "I never try to hit balls they expect" (eg: baseline rallies). Both players are in great form and both are very competent on hard. However experience and variety in the difficult conditions favour Martinez who I rate a 65.1% v 34.9% chance to win.
Martinez $1.80 @ Sporting Odds & SportingBet.
I expect Martinez to shorten in the market so this will probably be the best price.
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