Neil's right about the knee jerk reaction to dump Seamer.

Oliver is a champion jockey but he is also notorious for making the wrong choice when it comes to deciding on his mounts. It wasn't that long ago when it was often a safer option to back the horse Oliver didn't choose, his judgement was that bad.

In this race, he would have had the choice of Chong Tong(Flemington Straight specialist), Bush Padre(up in class, down in weight and in top form), the two runners he rode at their last start and Bel Esprit.

Oliver's skill in selecting mounts in the past has been nowhere near as good as his skill in riding them. It'll be interesting to see if he's improved.