23rd March 2005, 02:46 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 64
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by zorro
My only issue with mechanical systems is that they tend to focus on what a horse has done in its previous starts rather than comparing its performances relative to other horses in TODAY's race.
As an example - if today's race was a 1350m race at Doomben and your system rules included (say) "winner at track and distance". The system would select a local horse. Unfortunately that sneaky Mr Hawkes had shipped up Lonhro for the race - never raced at 1350 or at Doomben so would slip through the filters. System falls over.
I guess that's where judgement rather than blind acceptance of the system output comes in.
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Seems to be my day for disagreeing with people.
Do you mean that because the system did not pick the winner of that hypothetical race it is useless?
If so, the simple (and eminently sensible) filter of not backing your pick against odds on pops would fix that. I realise that you are hyperbolising when you use Lonrho for your example but there are many other filters that could be applied and nobody expects his system to pick every winner anyway.
I'd gladly settle for one loser per day every day as long as I could have two bets.
Cheers.
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