Update and Nasdaq-Miami

Bets 43; Won 34; Lost 9.
At Flat Stakes: Bet 43; Won 13.33; ROI 31%

Relatively ordinary day - Garrigues was busy thumping Weingartner who then decided to retire (5Dimes is a 'first set for action' bookie so the bet stands), Peer played poorly to just scrape home and Bondarenko put in a shocker. Overall a small profit for the day.

I noticed Peer's price was only avialable for about half an hour before plunging with the weight of some big money. I'll therefore record her price as $1.54 - closer to the going rate - to keep the betting record on a more even keel. Note that you could get Garrigues and Bondarenko at slightly better prices but I'll leave them as they are.

My model did fairly poorly across all games yesterday. My higher rated player usually beats the lower rated player about 71% of the time - yesterday it was closer to 50%. Perhaps the slow conditions and weather delays played a part but I'll be a tad cautious over the next round or two.


Linetskya v Sucha.
Nasdaq - Round 1

A short price here but worth the punt as Linetskya is a very talented youngster displaying excellent current form. Most peple are fixated on her win over Mauresmo last week which was great, but Mauresmo's plethora of unforced errors certainly let her into the game. However Linetskya's form prior to this game was also strong with wins over Zvonereva, Morigami and Granville. She's 12-6 for the season and has 51-20 record on the surface. Though young she has performed well on the American harcourt swing and her
aggression is a definite asset. In contrast, Martina Sucha is having an ordinary 2005. She's 2-6 for the season with one of her wins coming against the terribly out-of-form Sugiyama and the other was won through Bedanova's retirement. Sucha was knocked out in the first round of Indian Wells lastweek, was knocked out int he first round of the Nasdaq in 2004, and was knocked out in the first round of the Nasdaq qualifiers in 2003. In fact she's 0-5 in her appearances at Miami. Note that Linetskya also thumped Sucha in Round 2 of this year's Australian Open - I rate her a 82.1% chance of winning.

Linetskya $1.25 @ WillHills
(early line - Pinnacle may have a better price later but I expect her to eventually shorten).

More bets posted this arvo after the numbers are crunched. Time for some sleep!