Thread: The Holy Grail
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Old 26th March 2005, 06:27 AM
Sarge1 Sarge1 is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 31
Post How to operate the holy grail

1. Bet only on saturdays at SYD, MEL and BRIS

2. If you do not have a bank then operate the HG on paper until you have a bank available. In any case, it is probably a good idea to operate the HG on paper until you are thoroughly familiare with it.

3. Obtain as many tipsters picks as possible. The more the better. We use all the available newspapers tipsters polls, most favored columns, plus also radiostations, late mail, racing commmentators picks, sportsman, winning post, best bets and several racing services. We place no confidence in any one tipster but have great confidence in the overall results that can be achieved.

4 Decide which tipsters you are going to use. You will use the same tipsters each week, but you can add or delete a tipster at any time depending on results. The absolute minimum is ten tipsters but more is better. If you start with ten tipsters you can build up to more at any time.

5. We have recorded tipsters results for many years and over a year most have a Saturday first pick win strike rate between 18% and 27%. Overall we usually collect from more than 85% of the saturday races we bet on.

6/ The first thing to doon race day is cross out any scratchings. If the first pick is scr, the second pick is the selection (and so on) If all three or four are scratched use the most favoured from the tipsters poll to substitue for that tipster. We also use the most favoured as an additional tipster

7. You will need ruled paper with columns to record your bets on. A suitable form is enclosed which you can copy or photocopy

8 Decide on an amount to win each time a tipster picks a winner, say $1 or $2 or $4 to start. You can increase the amonut later when you have built up your winnings. Do not try to win large amounts, specially at first. Always play it safe

9. It is easy to work out approximately how much you will win in a year. eg There are 24 SYD MEL BRIS races each saturdaytimes 52 weeks = 1248 races per year. 1248 races time 20 tipsters = 24,960 first picks times 22% win strike rate = 5,491 winning picks times $4 won each time = $21,964 profit per year

40 tipsters = 10,982 winning picks times $4 = $43,928 profit PA

After a few years you may build up to a professional punters level of 40 tipsters columns 10,982 picks times $40 = $439,280

10. You will need to know what the picks are paying. This is no problem at the track, club,pub or tab. At home you can use teletext, the internet or the radio

11 At the level we are now betting, we prefer to bet with bookmakers. Dividends never change after the bets are placed which makes our calculations 100% accurate. If at all possible we suggest you bet with bookmakers

12 Examine the enclosed example of operating the HG which is relatively self explanatory

a) the first line (amount to win) is the amount to win each time a winner is picked, in this case $4. After a tipster picks a winner start the column off again with another $4, unless you intend to increase or reduce the amount won per winning pick

b) then enter the horse name or the tote number of the picks (selected race 1)

c) add across the first line (amount to win$) to arrive at the amount required to be won off each horse. In this case

Horse A = $12
Horse B = $12
Horse C = $8

d)
Look up the odds on offer. We have assumed that horse A is at bookmakes odds of 2/1 ($3 to $4 tote) Horse B is at 4/1 (5 to 6 tote) and horse C is 4/1 (5 to $6 tote) therefore
Horse A bet $6 win (total $12 win wanted, spread over 3 tipsters pick, divided by bookmakers odds of 2)
Horse B bet $3 win ( total 12 win wanted, spread over 3 tipsters picks, divided by bookmakers odds of 4)
Horse C bet $2 win (total $8 win wanted, spread over 3 tipsters picks divided by bookmakers odds of 4)
Remember that if you are betting on the tote you need to reduce the figures showing on the tote by 1
eg If a horse is showing a tote div of $5 to $6 , you divide the win wanted total by 4

e) Enter the amounts bet on your form ( amount bet $) When a tipster picks a winner, you collect back all the investments you have made on his tips since he last picked a winner, plus a profit of $4

f After the race enter the amount collected in the approriate column and carry the new totals forward to the next race. The cloumn totals after the last race are carried forward to the first race of the next saturday

g) From time to time a particular tipster will have a very bad run and the total in that column will build up. We suggest that you do not let a column reacha very high total, as you are placing too much reliance on that tipster. Transfer out half or more of the total and spread it evenly over all the other tipsters. If the out of form tipster does not improve, spread all the total in the column out evenly over the other tipsters and drop him altogether

There are other tips and suggestions that I may well tap out another day, phew my fingers are sore.
I get lost in the math of it all and am still not quite sure how it operates. I know I should have paid more attention at school and for that I am truly sorry, I just cant get my head around it

ciao for now

Chris
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