Update

Bet 50; Won 39; Lost 11
At Flat Stakes: Bet 50; Won 13.28; ROI 26.5%

A very good night with both selections getting home. However Sprem played poorly andis one to avoid in the next round (apparently she's having some off-court personal problems as well). Randriantefy turned out to be great value and was easily obtainable at $2.20 in the late betting (though I'll still record the early price).

Cohen-Aloro v Sprem
Nasdaq - Round 3

Sprem played very poorly last night in a game she should have lost. As mentioned yesterday, Parra-Sontanja is currently a 'dog' on hardcourts but she still broke Sprem's serve at willand absolutely hammered her in the second set. Sprem may have been rusty coming off the bye but this shouldn't be an excuse against a player of Parra-Sontanja's calibre. While anecdotal, Sprem's personal life is currently a hot topic in the Croatian tabloids and while difficult todetermine the impact, she ceratinly played like someone who's distracted. Moreover, she withdrew from Qatar with lower back pain and has decided to withdraw from Croatia's forthcoming Fed Cup tie with Thailand as a precaution from 'overplaying. Sprem's opponent Cohen-Aloro has a 55/38 hardcourt record and is certainly a better player than Parra-Sontanja. She hasn't had a good year thus far but is showing good form at Miami with wins over Strycova and the in-form Hantuchova. That said, she came through to the main draw as a lucky loser, beating Bedanova in the first round of qualies and then losing to Serna. While I still rate Sprem the favourite (55.1-44.9%), her rating has fallen during this tournament (and has been falling for the past 2 weeks) while Cohen-Aloro's rating has improved some 40% during the same period. Value on the outsider but I wouldn't put the house on it.

Cohen-Aloro $2.65 @ 5Dimes
(Bookies very slow to price up. many haven't check the draw and have failed to price up tonight's 'extra' matches including Sprem. Might be better prices later),