
28th March 2005, 05:35 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 160
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Bet 51; Won 39; Lost 12
At Flat Stakes: Bet 51; Won 12.28; ROI 24%
What a difference a day makes - I couldn't have been more wrong about Sprem last night! She absolutely wiped the court with Cohen-Aloro who showed none of the grit that saw her beat Hantuchova the night before. Women!
Molik vs Henin.
Nasdaq - Round 4
I think everyone's having trouble pricing this match up. Molik's certainly playing a great game at the moment and has had some impressive results this season. Her serve, ground strokes and stamina are true class but the big question is: how fit is Henin? To be sure, at her peak she'd be a red hot favourite but you can't expect her to be anywhere near her best. She's certainly been workman-like this week and hasn't done anything wrong. However Henin has yet to face a player of consequence, having beaten Spears (who really only has a big serve) and claycourt specialist Llagostera-Vives. Now she may be pacing herself and may unleash tonight but these girls aren't robots so I expect Henin's long layoff to be exposed by Molik's power and stamina. I have a slight advantage to Molik - 51.1-48.9% so I'll take the Aussie.
Molik $2.15 @ 5dimes.
Clijsters - Myskina
Nasdaq - Round 4
Myskina recently took a couple of weeks off to refocus as she was playing so poorly. The rest seems to have worked and she's certainly picked up her play - but then again she's only faced Penetta and Vento-Kabchi. While these two are competent players, Clijster's is a different proposition. The Belgain will be very keen to follow-up on her recent tournament and with the Williams sisters and Henin all returning from injury, Clijster's will be out to assert herself. While I doubt she's at full strength, she hasn't put a foot wrong during her comeback and certainly gave Davenport a good game. The h2h is 4-3 to Clijster's though one of the games involved Clijster's retiring and another couple are rather dated. I expect this to be close, but the value is definitely with Clijsters whom I rate a 68.1% chance of winning.
Clijsters $1.48 @ StanJames and others.
(early lines)
Mauresmo v Sprem
Nasdaq - Round 4
I said my piece about Sprem yesterday and she proved me wrong (and some!) but I'm not convinced. Mauresmo' s had a few shaky moments over the past few weeks and even managed to lose to Linetskya. However she lost that game through a huge number of unforced errors and this is an exception rather than the rule. You won't see me punting down this end of the market too often but I still think's there value - though marginal - in the short odds. If not, my TV will
be taking a trip out the window.
Mauresmo $1.16 % 5Dimes
(some smaller books are offering 1.17).
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