Mo, after last year's GF, I made the judgement that 2004 had been Brisbane's last chance at the top and they were on the way down. I certainly made the judgement that they wouldn't be finishing ahead of Port Adelaide in this year's premiership. Well, I'm still sticking to that (for now).

Port Adelaide didn't start well, but I think they have a habit of slow starts. I remember a couple of years ago, they lost the first 2 matches and still won the minor premiership. Brisbane certainly went well against St Kilda, but remember St Kilda were leading before Reiwoldt went off and a 23 point win for the Lions against the Saints at the Gabba is nothing unusual considering past form at that ground.

Brisbane has a chance at AAMI stadium this week and if they win, I might have to make another adjustment, but for now I'm quite happy to have the teams this way:

Top Winning Chances
Port Adel
St Kilda
West Coast

Next Best Winning Chances
Brisbane
Geelong
Sydney

Good Top 8 Chances
Melbourne
Fremantle
Carlton

Rough Top 8 Chances
Collingwood
Essendon
Adelaide
W.Bulldogs
Kangaroos

Wooden Spoon Chances
Richmond
Hawthorn