3rd April 2005, 08:31 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Port Macquarie
Posts: 1,694
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by regular
This is a graph I done for a race recently
The graph showing the Dr John has strongest form (highest rating)
the odds reflected each horse s form well
But the winner is NO2 Horse won
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Gday regular,
from what I can work out, you seem to think that the horse with the superior form will win the race.. Sadly, If it was that simple we would all be millionaires there would be no bookies the TABs would be closed and we would be living in clover.. It doesnt work that way mate... It is the vagaries of racing that make it such a compelling pastime.. Most decent set of ratings will tell you what the best performed horse in any given race is.. but most ratings only provide 25 - 30 per cent winners as the on top selection. So what happens in the other 70% of races? The best performed horse doesnt win .. Thats where having a bit of a clue as to what racing is about comes in, understanding the animals and the people involved, the way tracks play an important role, the weather etc.... If you cant get your head around those pretty basic simple realities of racing you will never succeed.. You MUST be prepared to cop the losses on the chin, otherwise look for something less stressful and maybe more predictable.. Maybe betting the fav in tennis or football.. you only have 2 choices there... but then again there are upsets there.. No one can guarantee a winner in any betting enterprise.. we all have to live with the losing days and look forward to the winning days |