Hi Dr. Pangloss,

Thanks for your kind words.

I did run this analysis using only VicTAB dividends and probably would pay better using Top Fluctuation. I would imagine around 5% profit...but that's just a guess.

You would have to use similar filters to weed out many losing bets though.

It was basically an exercise to confirm my own suspicions and my theory that it should be more rewarding to concentrate on the up and coming stars rather than the stars/champions in their own right.

Probably most of the time the classier horse will win, but if you can get overs on a rising star, you may well profit better the one time it rolls the hotpot. From there on you'll probably get poor prices on say a horse that beat Lonhro or Sunline. Look at the scenario with Northerly before beating Sunline and then after as an example.

As for the Top Fluctuation price, if you are a regular punter then it's well worthwhile getting that extra bit on top. Certainly can make a big difference to your profit at the end of the day!