LOL just caught up with this thread again - lovely sarcasm infused with the last post.

NICKHANLON: Neil and Filante etc are right - you can't just use winning percentages. Even if taking Neil's example you convert it back to a 100% market you'll still do your ******** punting it.

Sportz what you said is correct. I would've thought all this was elementary and obvious stuff - of course you can't apply strike rates as a universal thing. What strike rates are good for is showing the heart of a horse, how much it tries. If you are using ratings for example and you can't decide whether to give a horse a certain figure or another one, and you notice it has a very low strike rate, give it the lower one. Horses with a 40% strike rate will continue to win 40% of the time, and those with a 2% s/r will continue to
win 2% of the time. So, when you find a race that's suitable for a horse, if it has a 40% strike rate bet with confidence, if it has a 2% strike rate leave it in the pocket b/c it's UNLIKELY to run to it's best, even with suitable conditions.