One aspect of form that I believe is not widely published is that generally runners only begin to perform optimally from around their 4th run of a campaign.

It is not rare to find a good-priced winner at run ~5+ despite apparently recent atrocious form.

Mate, Thats a pretty GENERAL statement you've made.

It may be true for horses running longer distances, though.
A good trainer will give them 3 or 4 shorter races to get them right for today's distance.

Many Sprinters, particularly younger( 2-3yo) can win races in their first couple of starts back from a spell and then go stale.

But in general, it's like saying" geldings like running at Randwick"

hey, that MAY be a new system:

Pick the OLDEST gelding in a race.
The theory is his memory of THE procedure are the dimmest in the field.


MMMM, I'll call Brian Blackwell.......

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