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Old 27th April 2005, 07:59 AM
jfc jfc is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 402
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Bhagwan,

for some reason you have not grasped what makes following tipsters a mug play. Their visibility and popularity means you will NOT get value, irrespective of the strike rate.

And I notice no one has bothered to post profit figures for tipsters to justify that strategy.

So I've just run my own test.

I examined the top 2KY pick.

Then as a control I examined runners with SP <= 3/1, but which were not in the top 3 2KY picks.


Tipped Untipped
44,203 11,007 - Runs
25.6% 25.9% - Strike Rate
91.7% 97.0% - ROT - best SP/NSW
85.7% 94.0% - ROT - NSW TAB


This should be emphatic proof that tips make far bigger losses than untipped runners with similar strike rates.
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