Looking at Northerly's breeding – tons of staying blood on his sire's side.

By Serheed, sired Beau Heed (2400m winner WA Cox Stakes), Heed the Toll (Perth Cup), Kim Angel (WA Derby). Serheed's sire NijinskyII sired Lammtarra (UK Epsom Derby, French Arc de Triomphe) and before that Ferdinand (USA Kentucky Derby).

The real question - how fast can Northerly run the 2400m on the day carrying 58kg, as apposed to some others.