horses stepping up a fair whack in distance no longer causes me much concern as after spending day after day some years ago trying to make sense of it all, i came to the simple conclusion that if i thought the trainer was 1/2 decent & the horse was unlikley to be impeded by other factors such as a too big a jump in class or weight, then i wasnt going to hold off & watch the thing win by 2 lengths (as a few did).

noel, i think the real folly is taking too short a price about any nag, & in my book taking < 2/1 on anything, other than maybe tulloch , will in the long run hurt big time.