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Old 15th May 2005, 03:42 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,436
Default Chrome Multiball - multiple acceptors.

No I don't have more than the usual allocation
I thought it a catchy topic for the multiple nominations topic.

A while ago on the forum, it was discussed re horse's being nominated for multiple races or venues.

There are two reasons that I can think of....

1. The trainer knows the horse is at peak and wants to cash in!

2. The trainer doesn't want to break the horse's preparation and wants it to run, but it won't necessarily perform today.

How do we know the difference?

Well we don't, unless we have inside info, so the best guideline is the market really (although we'll miss a few longshots).

Done some research on this and only have a little data thus far, but it's looking very promising.

Multiple acceptors 1/1/2005 to 30/4/2005

75 individual horses

If we take out anything above $10.00 TAB price, we are left with these amazing stats....

31 horses that aren't longshots
only 8 winners for a return of $31.20 (around breakeven)

24 placegetters for a return of $38.40 or 7 units profit.

Admittedly too small a sample, but the trend is way higher than normal.

77% place strike rate
23.87% POT

Food for thought.

Kenchar, where are you buddy?
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