Hi, Punter57.

You're right, there should be an angle. From your examples, the horses have failed at a longer distance then the trainer reduces its next-start distance so that a good price is available. Hopefully the angle is the price. The selections I am looking at is the pre-post fave at $3.50 or shorter and not at double figures.

And concerning sprinters - I agree with you. I am not looking at any horse whose last start was at 1,200 meters and is now racing in a 1,000 metre race. It seems (I could be mistaken) that these sprint races do not provide a distinct disadvantage concerning the reduction in distance. There would have been two selections today but I have omitted them due to the above reason. Out of interest, they are
Townsville R2 no.1 - Sea Zulu
Townsville R3 no.1 - Zozulina.

There is one selection for the system today:
Placed last start.
Townsville R7 no.3 - Brunt