19th May 2005, 02:43 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 578
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Mark
Hi Bhaggy
You recently posted info re tipsters polls & the strike rate of the top 2 picks (constantly around 45% from memory).
Does the strike rate drop for races later in the day?, ie are races 5,6,7 etc worse than 1,2,3,4? Cheers Mark
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I can only supply the figures for the top pick, but there is a significant drop-off between the first four and the last four races. The following stats based on metro races only.
R1: 30.2%
R2: 26.9%
R3: 28.5%
R4: 26.3%
R5: 22.8%
R6: 22.6%
R7: 21.2%
R8: 23.5%
I think a similar trend also applies to actual favourites as well, that is there is a higher strike-rate for the first four races v. the last four races. |