Quote:
Originally Posted by Marco
One thing with these tips is that they're only of any real value over the long-term. A 16-month history suggests the current 12-13% ROI is a realistic return so there's not much chance of being an 'overnight success'.
Good luck with the punt.
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Marco, Great work. Do not sell yourself short. On your 16 months statistics, you are sitting on a potential cash cow.
If we bring your 16 month total bets of 1500 back to a 12 month average of 1125 bets you will soon see why.
At a paltry $500 per unit (playing one unit per play), you would generate $562,000 per annum in turnover. At a ROI of 12%, a profit of $67,500 would result.
Your high strike rate ensures that a "Risk of Ruin" is negligible if you started with working capital equivalent to 40 units or $20,000.
Now most of the "mugs" on this site would have to agree that $67,500 tax free per year is not too shabby at all. The problem with most on this forum is that they would not be prepared to put up the $20K in the first place and if they did, they would probably not have the intestinal fortitude to keep placing $500 on EVERY play especially after the inevitable "losing sequence" kicks in.
I have been lurking on here for a while and I must say it is refreshing to see posts of your calibre. I rarely post because I'm not into "free tips competitions", and tips like "I think such and such is a good bet" when there is no logical backup to the accompanying statement. I think I recall on the AFL forum someone said he thought a certain team would win the flag and then proceeded to tell us he had never seen them play. Give me a break!!
Your posts are truly logical and give the reader some insight into why you are picking a certain player.
Keep up the tremendous work.