Hi Marcus! I dont mean a "cluster" of similar races or one age group of horses etc. I mean that the wins (I dont bet place) ,especially the big ones, are not as predictable as clockwork. Some days you have half a dozen longshots come second or third by a nose or half head due to the most miniscule variation in "the running".You are so close to the boilover that you start thinking "What about 10 bucks the place as well" even though you know that's a long term mistake. These losers could've been winners if the slightest touch/bump (unseen) hadn't happened or if one ( also unseen) blade of grass didnt fly for a split second into YOUR nags eye. Or if the jockey had've tapped it's rump a quarter second earlier (or later) etc etc.How to know?
But some days everything falls into place.Every photo goes your way;the bet you couldnt get on in time is a hopeless loser (saved another $20****:your 2nd placer gets up because 3rd protests against the winner; the rank outsider you're on goes 10 lengths ahead and a fall holds up the field. You name it!! Sure, I would LIKE to examine my records until every variable was under control ,or be certain my methods worked better on Group races than others etc,but you are right that that's too boring. Anyway.Marcus I still didnt notice if you were advocating stopping betting when ahead or not,which is what this threads about. Let us know and good luck.