Something I have been messing around with for quite some time, while it doesn't give an indication of fitness, this could be incorporated as well.

RULES
1. You need The Sportsman or similar giving the total prizemoney for each race your horse has competed in.

2. You allocate prizemoney from that race on lengths from winner.
E.G. If your runner won the race of $100,000 prizemoney you give him $100,000

If your runner ran third by 2.5 lengths, you give him $100,000 divided by 2.5 = $40,000

If your runner ran 8th 9.6 lengths behind the winner you allocate $100,000 divided by 9.6 = $10,417 (rounded up).

Thus you can get an indication of the class runs of the horse and how it performs overall in each class.

3. You then add up ALL the prizemoney from every runner in today's race. You divide your runners total prizemoney (calculated by you) into the total of the field.

Example:

257,520 divided by 10,367,487 X 100 to give a percentage = 2.483 or around 35/1.

Anything above this price is "overs".

Play around with it, you may be surprised at some results etc.

Any input positive or negative (constructive) welcome.

Bear in mind it's the rough workings of a raving lunatic with too much time on his hands and there are other factors which should also be considered.

:wink:

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Treat your selection and staking methods not with optimism, nor with pessimism, but with realism.