
1st June 2005, 12:11 PM
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Member
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Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 34
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Thanks jaffa.
My stats reveal that I do not back as many winners from Boxes 4,5,6 as I do from 1,2,3,7,8. But when I do find a winner from the squeeze boxes I invariably get a good price.
I stand by what I said on the Tote pools at CASINO (not Lismore as this is a Tuesday night meeting with lots of other meetings competing).
Casino on Friday afternoons invariably hold $20,000 for the win at Supertab and $20,000 also at NSW TAB and about $10,000 in the Unitab pool. $50K in total for the win. Check out the historic results at Unitab and Tabcorp if you don't believe me. Lismore would be lucky to hold $20K in total for the win.
Regarding your comments on the demise of bookies: Your points are valid but there is no longer any online corporate bookie that offer "best tote" on the dogs. Centreracing did last year and got smashed. I got $20K out of them in 3 months. Others obviously got them for plenty - that's why they ceased giving Best Tote. You could only get on for a small amount at Best Tote anyway - the rest of the wager was paid at Home Tote.
IAS offer SuperPrice which guarantees to beat the second best dividend, Sportsbet and others offer Home Tote only with a small 2% bonus at best.
As I said in an earlier post on this thread, I only bet on the totes directly now - they never bar you and so long as the pools are OK, the totes will do me.
Don't you agree though that my original point on the dog's racing style is valid when assessing any dog from any box? My Casino Race 10 example from two Fridays ago I thought explained it clearly.Sometimes a dog will be suited in a middle box if it has the appropriate runners drawn alongside it. I love backing a Box 4 dog if it has a wide runner drawn in 5 and a mad railer in Box 3.
It is this very fact that makes it nearly impossible for a "systems" punter to win in the long run on greyhounds. The "system" will invariably be selecting dogs that on paper look the winner but perhaps they are not well boxed for the particular race in mind. Box 1 is sometimes a huge disadvantage especially if the dog wants to get off the track and run wide. Many false favourites are in Box 1 because of this fact. Box 1 is definately overbet especially if it is tipped by the radio announcer.
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