Good one Woof43, but keeping it as vague as possible doesn't clarify the problem all that much. We know that the fastest horse "on the day" has won the race after the fact: obviously, that horse had the speed at "the right time" since it WON. What we'd like to know is how you know IN ADVANCE that that nag that's always coming home "like a rocket" in every race is NOT going to do so today or, conversely that the 100-1 shot WILL (and be on it!!!!). We would like predict that "maybe" (as in the 2000 Olympic 1500m final) the world record holder,who hasn't lost in 4 years, is going to get nutted by a guy who's best time EVER is 5 seconds slower. What use can it possibly be (from a punting point of view) to sit there, only able to mutter "he had the speed AT THE RIGHT TIME"!!!! What next with this info,Woof??