6th June 2005, 01:12 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Port Macquarie
Posts: 1,694
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
I will try rating a price for each winning chance and wager according to my rated price.But only if the available price satisfies this formula:
Needed price($)=(rated price)^2 x 0.15 plus the (rated price).
Today I went Wagga Race 4 and 5.Warrnambool Race 9.Northam Race 6.
Wagga Race 4
No.2 Red October $1.40 needs $1.70 for $60
No.3 Walk The Beat $5.70 needs $9.20 for $10 (E/W basis)
Wagga Race 5
No.7 Creanced $4.40 needs $7.40 for $20 (E/W basis)
Warrnambool Race 9
No.1 Popeye Doyle $2.25 needs $3 for $45
Northam Race 6
No.2 Brave Jester $2.40 needs $3.35 for $40
No.1 Scottish Storm $3.10 needs $4.60 for $30
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Gday mo
below are the price I reckon those horses would be fair value..
WAGGA 4
Red October $3.24
Walk The Beat $13.50
WAGGA 5
Creanced $2.40
WARRNAMBOOL 9
Popeye Doyle $3.64
NORTHAM 6
Scottish Storm $2.00
Brave Jester $3.57
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