Thanks Mav

I have heard of Don scott but am unsure of what he has written or where I would get hold of his work. Are his books still in print?

Your analysis of those horses' last runs was quite accurate and I had decided to "lay"them all last weekend for similar reasons. As mentioned here however, I find video watching very time consuming (but nevertheless fun with a nice glass of wine) and wanted to formulate a reproducible, easy to use method of narrowing down the chances in a race.

I did a very similar thing to privateer (i.e. sat down with pen and paper as my excel and access skills are not great) and "did the form" for the last 18 months.

I unfortunately just lacked the nous to know how to use my stats.

I love stats though...they are a big part of my job...and it is interesting when they challenge a belief you have had ever since you first started reaching to put your TAB card in the machine.

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Ever get the feeling that the world is a tuxedo and you are a pair of brown shoes?