Dirk, no different to a horse who has been ridden out fully to win a race, but many people will back it next start even though it is either up in class or weight or both. I am a firm believer that horses are of the most part a consistent animal, i base my selections predicting either an improved showing due to fitness or an equal performance of their last start. I don't subscribe much to over the top or past its peak until i witness it in a race, i don't try predicting it. As for having a hard run, it is not always the case many horses finish full of running because they haven't been given the chance to fully extend, and alot of the time if a horse has had a tough trip and no chance the jockey nurses the horse to the line. Just because its losing margin may be increased a good form student should be able to identify where the horse could have or would have finshed with a decent run. Anyway enough of these coulda, shoulda, wouldas i'm off to bed.


Good night, Ed