9th June 2005, 10:22 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,436
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Yes, but punter57 does bring up a point which I have found very valid.
One cannot really quantify unknown potential, increased performance, interference nor anticipate that a horse will perform as expected. This is where many ratings systems fall apart a little.
Not saying it doesn't work and definitely not poo pooing anyone's methods, just throwing an electricians spanner in the works.
Consider this....
Horses rising in class have a better strike rate than horses dropping in class.
Horses rising in weight have a better strike rate than horses dropping in weight.
Horses running very fast race times and very fast sectionals do not reproduce this as often as expected. Some horses put in an enormous run and never reproduce this in their career again.
How do we get around all this?
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