
4th November 2002, 10:48 AM
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Tabhunter  ne last post because I promised you my assessment today(Monday).As EI said in anoyher post a while back,how things change in the last few days before the Cup!!All the hype has gone from Vinnie Roe to Media Puzzle!My opinion is that Dermot Weld,cunning Irishman that he is,is laughing.I think his money has been on Vinnie all along.This horse is used to carrying big weights,in fact the 59kgs is probably the lightest weight he has carried for quite some time!They have both drawn well,but in my opinion Vinnie Roe will be the stronger horse over the 3200 metres.Also with the hype now centralised on Media Puzzle and Damien Oliver,unless you got on some weeks back there is no value left there.Pugin is a noted front runner,but is Frankie Dettori going to push forward from gate 15,and who will lead if he doesn't?I think that Freemason,County Tyrone,Hail,Mr Prudent,Prized Gem,Victory Smile,Grey Song,Thong Classic,Miss Melliss and Requiem are all outclassed.I had a nibble at Distinctly Secret at 25/1 before the Caulfield Cup,so I am pretty happy with that bet now!I also backed Rain Gauge at 40/1 months ago,again quite pleased with myself.My final thuoghts are 1)Distinctly Secret 2)Vinnie Roe 3)Rain Gauge 4)Pugin 5)Media Puzzle 6)Pentastic 7)Cyclades  Beekeeper.Having said all that,I also intend to have a small bet on a roughie,County Tyrone.This horse won the Qld derby last winter,you had to see the run to believe it,and guess who ran 4th in the same race?You got it,Distinctly Secret!It has the pumper on board,and Max Lees is a good trainer,and it will be at any old odds.Just my own thoughts,good luck to all posters,go for it!!
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