14th June 2005, 04:11 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 160
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Bets 192; Won 125; Lost 67
Units Staked: 173.5 units; Won 21.00 units; ROI 12.1%
A good night going 3-1.
The losing bet Dominikovic goes into the black book. It's the second week in a row she's blown a good third set lead.
Cervanova v Krajicek
Round 1 - Hertogenbosch
Cervanova has a 6/9 record on grass, Krajicek has a 0/2 record. Both of Krajicek's losses have been during the First Round at Hertogenbosch where she's only qualified as a wildcard. Her 2003 loss was to Cervanova 6:3 6:1. Why then is Krajicek a $1.38-ish favourite? Sure, Cervanova had a miserable clay swing and lost first-up last week at Birmingham. But at least she was warming-up on grass unlike Krajicek who's first up here. Again, this is Krajicek's home tournament and she does have tremendous potential but is she a 72% ($1.38) chance of winning? The value is definitely with Cervanova though a cautious half unit.
Cervanova $3.27 @ Pinnacle Half Unit
Asagoe v Raymond
Round 1 - Eastbourne
Asagoe let us down last week but she does have a solid grass record which includes good wins over quality players. Raymond is also competent on grass though her best performances were a few years back. However the 31-year old American is on a bit of a slippery slope at the moment having suffered a 6:1 6:0 First Round drubbing at Birmingham last week to lowly-ranked Sequerra. She only made this week as a Lucky Loser having been soundly beaten 6:4 6:0 in her Q3 match-up with Srebotnik. Raymond's no easy beat but Asagoe should be too good today.
Asagoe $1.70 @ Centrebet 1 Unit
(better prices at smaller bookies)
Razzano v Farina-Elia
Round 1 - Eastbourne
Farina-Elia is a competent grass player and probably has the edge in class over her opponent. However Razzano has a good grass record herself going 17/9 and she has the advantage of playing a couple of matches last week at Birmingham while Farina-Elia is first-up on grass. This match will be closer than the odds suggest so there's value with Razzano.
Razzano $2.60 @ Pinnacle Half Unit
Medina-Garrigues v Benesova
Round 1 - Hertogenbosch
Median-Garrigues had a very good clay swing so should be in a positive frame of mind. She hasn't had much experience on grass (3/3 record) but she made the SF's here last year and so must have some ability. Benesova had a poor clay season and has a similar grass record to Garrigues but her last win was in 2002. Garrigues usually puts up a good fight and she has plenty of ranking points to defend here so I expect she'll be rather focused.
Medina-Garrigues $1.50 @ Pinnacle 1 unit
(better prices at smaller bookies)
Notes: Likhovtseva plays today after withdrawing from Birmingham last week with a thigh strain/fatigue. Maleeva plays todays after withdrawing from Birmingham with a shoulder strain.
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