18th June 2005, 06:50 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Queensland
Posts: 2,628
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Ipswich
Race 1: probably a no bet race for me but looking at the race I would be looking at Bohemian Dancer he is drawn well and weighted to well to leave out. Doonan Dancer drawn to get the run of the race which is a huge bonus around this tight track. Elendil would be my 3rd pick take no notice of his last start was wide and never saw cover from the wide barrier I think they might try and snag him out the back and hope for some luck should be good odds to. I wouldn't leave Star of St.Covet out of your triffectas either was a good run last start just a matter of whether he wants it a bit further now.
Race 2: Hard race again Dream'n'Scheme looks as though it is well weighted with the 3kg claim the draw might hurt his chances more than anything. Countess Bathory would be an obvious pick especially with McKeon's claim the only trouble is she might get to far out of it to win around here.
Race 3: Aladdins Lion was a horse I was giving a bit of an e/w chance in the Magic Millions only it didn't make the field if they take a sit on him this time it will go very close here, Amarezetti is a classy horse who looked like it needed that run first up should be fitter this time and is drawn well with a top jockey on board would be surprised if he doesn't go very close. Song of Dubai could be another smart one coming along and he might just be able to give the other 2 a bit of trouble.
Race 4: I liked the way that Persuades hit the line behind Florilegium last start if she can find a good spot in running just off the speed I think she can go one better here. Crystal Wit could be classy enough to win this first up but 15 alley isn't going to do it any favours what so ever I'd say place would be best from that alley. Testify is the other I would include here been running some good races being trained by one of the best in queensland I think this could go well.
Race 5: Au Chocolat is not a horse I particularly like all that much but is drawn beatifully and weighted well to give this a real good shake, Charmview will be charging late if she gets a clear run then she will go very very close to taking this one. Deep in the Woods hasn't been a bad horse in melbourne and it might have enough speed out of the gates to get over and sit behind Wasimah think if it can get there then it will be in it for along time the other one I like is Kind Spirits on her day she can fly home and she has shown a liking for this track in the past.
Race 6: I really like Top Marc here he is a very good horse and he is drawn beautifully here might be able to sit just behind the leaders a little bit of rain wouldn't go a stray either, Sir Breakfast and Tellem look to be the next hardest to beat aswell as Beatiful Gem I will probably just be settling on Top Marc e/w anyway.
Race 7: There is plenty of speed in this one which should turn it into a true staying test Anne Carinna will go to the lead and going on her last run she will be in it for a very long time, Motivate will be charging late and has no weight on his back with the likes of Volksini and Forest Jim. I think that Natural Blitz might struggle to win this with the weight he has he is a very good horse on his day just feel that he is conceding far to much to some of these. Wouldn't be surprised to see Kajema, Desert Flight and Classic Karla in the finish aswell.
Race 8: Early finish today not a fan at all of this race
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