Merriguy,
welcome back,I've been away a long time also.
Luv2bet,as far as I know,at least with unitab,a quinella & exacta both cost the same,$1,unless you take multiple quinellas,then you can use 50c units.I don't know if the exacta is the same as I have never taken one.
Theoretically I imagine the exacta would,or should pay more as not as many punters would get it right without the quinella option of your banker being able to run 2nd and you stillcollect if you have the winner.My point being that more people would collect from the quinella pool making the divvies smaller.
Kenny,I am bemused by your words.If you are sure of 1st & 2nd you would rather an exacta that will win than a trifecta that will probably lose??If you are sure of 1st & 2nd,and assuming right in your judgement,why not take an ab/ab/field trifecta?If you are right with 1 & 2,then you MUST get the trifecta,it can't lose.
Merriguy,
I don't have any rules of thumb as such.I look at the4 mainland states and concentrate on any race with the pp fav in the odds range 6/4-2/1.Then I run each one thru my selection criteria to determine whether it is a false fav or not.If it passes,I then run the next runners in the pp market,with a cutoff point of 10/1,thru another set of rules.
Things can vary(according selection criteria)some days being no bet in certain states,some races being only 1 or 2 quinellas,some races 5 qualify for 2nd place.
I work all my bets out on Friday night using the Wizard formguide.I do not have to watch the screen up to the last minute as I work on pp markets.
I use mathematically calculated expected odds quinella charts,so I know what my outlay is per race per state well in advance.
I know markets can and do change overnight,sometimes it goes against me,but on the larger scale I am well in front.
My s/r is a healthy 45%,am aiming to get it above 50% before years end.
cheers