10th July 2005, 04:30 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 578
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Chuck
Here's a few extra proven statistics for you iamcool:
- The Top 4 favourites win 80% of races (as said before)
- The Top 6 TAB runners 68% of races
- Those horses who have finished 4th or better in their last start win 62% of races
- Those horses who have finished 1st or 2nd in at least 1 of last 2 starts win 60% of races
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Chuck, I ran some database queries of my own, coming up with the following:
Top 4 favs: 73.3%
Top 6 TAB #'s: 67.1%
1st to 4th Last Start: 70%
1st or 2nd Last Start: 46.8%
1st or 2nd Second Last Start: 43.1%
The first three criteria are combined (Top 4 favs; Top 6 Tab #'s & 1st to 4th Last Start) results in a strike-rate of 44.8% & s loss on turnover of 16.9%.
Sobering.
Stats based on Saturday metro eastern states meetings only. |