Thread: DOGS
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Old 14th July 2005, 01:18 PM
dingoboy dingoboy is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 241
Default THIS IS IT

Ok,

Selections are easy, no gallops, trots and dogs only, no form reading, bet start at 5% of bank, you need acces to unitab or NSW tab, most bets at night !

Firstly let me say that this set up does work and has been working for me for months now, i checked it on paper for months and months every morning before physically placing money on them, started with a bank of 200 and it has done very well.

All i do is take the unitab late mail on each dog race and trots, dont be fooled in taking one of the first or second or third selection as late mail seems to be a slightly higer strike rate, and it normally pays a lot better which brings up the divvy.

We bet it for a place only, we use bhagwans crusher plan, ie 10L,10L,10L,10W@1.5,20w@1.7,30L,30w@1.5,50w@1.8 etc.

Important to have one bank per meeting, i use five banks, any more and you can get mixed up in the heat of the quick races, i mean that the time between races can cause unwanted confussion. The reason i use five banks is so i can watch how the "flow" goes, that is if one of the tipsters late mail is having a bad day (or is wrongly printed which does happen) you can adjust or leave the meeting alone which i have done sometimes.

Follow the late mail for place, dont bet unless there is minimum of eight runners or you miss the third divvy, often the late mail places but it isnt worth the differance in percentages.

It is important to follow each meeting with the crusher plan, you must revert to the base bet when in profit no matter how small, and if its a ten race meeting and you loose your base bet on race eight, STOP there, there is not enough profit in the next too races to cover that last bet loss, you can make the profit on other meetings.

I fell into the trap of betting to big also, i used a principal of every time my bank grew by four times i would then double my start bet, i found that i would not make as much POT as when i was putting two hundred into small pools it would stuff up the dividend, i noted this when i back calculated POT, it dropped dramatically, now my highest bet to start is 20.

I tried the progression after loss system, i tried doubling after loss, then tripple, then all sorts of percentages, although it made money it was unsafe and i blew two banks completely doing this, i have found that regression or flat staking whilst in profit is the safest and that increasing after a winner whislt until in profit the back to base bet is it. It is very safe.

I knocked up a spead sheet which calculates whether or not to increase or revert for next bet, saves calculating each time to see if you are in profit or not, this has five differant meetings so one per meeting.

Some figures:
average bets per night 48
average strike rate late mail 68%, minimum eight runners
average dividend using unitab and NSW tab (must use both for splitting larger bets, ie 50 units with nsw and 50 with NSW or better odds) 1.45
average POT over the last eight months 9.6%

In the last two months, i gave this to two friends who dont punt, i gave them 100 each and they opened an account with nsw only, they dont do it every night (they arent really keen) but both have made really good profits and it proves to me that you dont have to be a guru at punting on these types of animals.

Anyway, i will drop my strides, bend over and take any kick that kickers wish to kick, i will say before anyone wants to burn the idea and or myself that it aint new, its just a combination of a couple of factors, a basic money managemet plan, some common sence and some work.

Hope i havent left anything out, if i did its only miniscule and i will edit if i have, as i said i havent had my connection relaible for three weeks and thats why i havent posted the idea until now.

Please have a look as you might be surprissed, i would like to thank those people on this forum who pointed me in differant directions and showed me differant ways, i might be doing things wrong still but hey, like i said, it works for me and hopefully someone else can get something from it or adjust something to make it work a little better.

Thanks and hope you get something from it

Dingoboy
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