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18th July 2005, 06:27 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 84
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Hi Mad Gambler,
Couple of things to note. Firstly, 36 bets is nothing in the scheme of things, so you will be doing yourself a big disservice if you try and plan around a strike rate and ave dividend from such an insignificant sample.
Second, if your 25% strike rate does hold true for a larger sample of bets then you should be prepared for a longest losing sequence of twenty - how would your staking plan handle this number of consecutive losers?
My advice would be to play on paper until you have a sample of at least a couple of hundred bets. If you must bet then small flat stake betting is the way to go until you have more data. Until you know what you are doing a progressive staking plan is only going to get you into trouble - and will never, long term, 'magically' turn a losing method into a profitable one.
Wun
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