Great post Sportz.

Got us all thinking that is for sure. As you know I make my tennis predictions based on statistics and hopefully statistical certanties.

I think your theory works well in single events like AFL or a tennis match. However in events that take 5 days (cricket) or 2 weeks (Wimbeldon) have too many extra factors other than the actual sporting event. (My opinion only - no stats to back this up).

For example -rain is a factor in cricket and tennis players are injury prone or catch the flu.

Maybe we should keep this forum open and when an event happens that is a "statistical certainty" we could build a list.

Ps Whats the stats on the Wallabies in the next match?

Karla