31st July 2005, 02:06 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 479
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by goldmember
BJ, i do my own prices, when i rate teams and i have them shorter than the bookies, thats value to me and i'll back them if i think can win, but if i have a team at say $1.40 and good things [other team at $2.85], and the books have them at $1.30 and $3.00 i wouldnt back the other team just because their overs.Last night i had the knights specials and rated at $1.60 and i gt $2.40 !, also backed them 13+ @ $7.00
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Now the term "good things", refers to what chance of winning? Would that not be represented in your price?
In my opinion, a good thing will not lose unless something freakish happens. A good thing would be value if you could get more than your money back.
You rate a team at $1.4 giving them a 72% chance of winning. How exactly does the term "good things" change that?
Are you saying that it will win, but you won't back it at less than $1.40? |