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Old 3rd August 2005, 12:03 PM
BJ BJ is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 479
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr J
" progressive staking system says that you bet more after a loss, and less after a win."

a progression just means you change the size of your bet based on the previous result. What you describe is called a negative progression. Betting more after a win & less after a loss is a positive progression.

"You profit $20 with a strike rate of 50% on an even money game."

Find me an even money game. An no you don't. A progession won't ever be mathematically profitable by itself. The only progession that is actually useful is betting more the larger your advantage, and betting less or not at all when it's small.

"The figures 1.2 and .8 are just used as a quick example to show what I meant about betting more on a win than a loss."

Lol. You won't win as often as you lose in roulette, and that is the problem. Your wins will be worth slightly more than your losses, but you'll lose more often that win which will more than make up for it, and still give you an overall loser. Forget it, and forget trying to give mathematical examples. A progession cannot produce an advantage.

So many people have looked at this in MUCH more detail than you. It's been proven mathematically that progessions don't produce an advantage. This is fact. You are wrong. Don't wanna sound like an ********, but it's all true.


Where is your proof.?
Explain how my example of 2 bets on an even money event doesn't give a profit.

You can't just rock up and say it won't work. What is the reason that a progressive staking system does not give you an advantage.? On the figures I have provided, it does.

Whether I believe beating casino games is possible or not, the example I provided was to show that a progressive staking system WILL give you an advantage over straight bets.....

Yes you are entitled to an opinion, but please if you are going to voice it, provide something to back it up.

You said yourself that the wins will be worth more than the losses. To me this is saying that you agree that it will give you an advantage over straight bets.

You are contradicting yourself.
In the roulette example I provided, I had 18 wins and 19 losses and made a profit.
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