What flaw? Are you trying to suggest that Australia DO win in South Africa??? The stats don't lie. 1 win out of the last 12!!! Not the sort of record that invites any sort of betting confidence at all.

Sure, the Australians went close, but I'm afraid they don't pay on that. They pay on the team which actually wins the game. That's what I meant by the win being all that matters. A close defeat is no justification for backing a team against overwhelming statistical evidence.

And South Africa weren't $1.27, were they? They were $1.72 which was great value. Give me a $1.72 winner any day compared to a $2.20 loser.