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Old 5th August 2005, 11:27 PM
Svenvlad Svenvlad is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 277
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Race 1 - Why do we have to start with the distance race? It just ensures that i don't start with a winner...Having said that, i think that Art Success is close to a win, got to the line nicely last time. If they can hold Ears To Victory up in front then he has a chance....outside of them, i've got no interest.

Race 2 - I think Gang can win here. Made up good ground last time in the 3yo race and with an inside alley he won't be as far away and i think he can go close. If Cortigiana jumps and can lead, she can improve. I've never been a fan of Countess Bathory (don't know why...) and i can't see a reason to change here, i just think the alley is awkward and to my eye, the speed is dubious.

Race 3 - I shudder to think what Colin's Party will open tomorrow. There has always been a lot of hype surrounding this horse, and if its right, he should just about win this. If they let Aim So High stride out in front and don't try to hold him up, he can figure. Twanged, the sentimental pick, can go alright when he wants to.

Race 4 - Stirling. Fitter and from the 1 should nearly get the prize i think. Appeared to peak on his run 50 out first up, and wasn't beaten far last time (blanket finish a nightmare). Will get a beautfiul run throughout and the jockey is riding in great form. I think there'll be money for a lot of these, so you should get a price about what you like. Vitruvian won well last time, but the class rise is significant. Street Smart, riddden closer, is the query - if being closer in the run doesn't affect her sprint, she is a huge chance.

Race 5 - As always in these 0MW races, i'm going rough. Rafso. Has put in some good races in town before and with a huge amount of speed in the race, i think he can go OK at the big odds. Agree that Arrowsweep can go well too, not a bad run last time. Tropiqualo is not hopeless now that hes got a start.

Race 6 - Desert Flight, with no speed in the race, should get a decent time of it out in front. Hes a good tough horse and won't be far off them at the end. Smart and Mighty was a big win last time, steps up in grade here though, and the speed may not be a good as last time - good horses like him can overcome that though... Admiral Spy has really come along this prep and so can also figure.

Race 7 - Nessuno. Huge amounts of speed here will suit him down to the ground. Poetic Papal is in the same catagory - both will be flying home at the business end. Sir Dan, from the 1, can go alright on his day aswell - i can just never pick him on the right one.

Race 8 - Not a great one to finish on, but Stigma at the bottom is a chance at odds. Plenty of speed again here, and she'll get back and come home (hopefully). Cocktail Shaker was nearly a great result last time and might improve on that tomorrow. Gazzam can fly late with speed on too, don't know what happened last time, but i can forgive a bad one here and there.

Best tomorrow would probably be Gang, with Rafso a nice longshot.

Good luck everyone

Sven
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