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Originally Posted by racingnovice
Going to test some tips for horses that have good records over the track and distance of todays race.
GUNDAGAI
RACE 8 #5 WIMMERA WIZARD TRK 4-2-1-1 DIST 22-3-2-5
MUSWELLBROOK
RACE 4 #3 HUCKLEBERRY BAY TRK 4-1-3-0 DIST 4-0-3-0
SUNSHINE COAST
RACE 5 #1 DEPUTY DEAL TRK 6-4-1-0 DIST 3-3-0-0
RACE 5 #4 SUNNY PARADISE TRK 5-2-2-1 DIST 2-1-0-1
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Gday Racing Novice...
I think that you are definitely onto something with what you are attempting... I rate just about every race every day... and D and CD are very important in my ratings formula... With my ratings, The race that Wimmera Wizard ran in threw up the, the winner as 2nd pick at 77$.. (can be found where I post full fields every day) The horse had form at the distance and track performance is outstanding with 3 from 5 or 60%.. nice barrier draw and a fair place percentage... also Wimmera Wizard and Tactica were 2 of 3 horses with the quickest backups.. I had Wimmera Wizard on top. The thing I find amazing is that overall my ratings do not perform very well in the front half of the card Races 1 - 4 , But are mostly profitable or break even on races 5 onwards.. I think that has to do with maidens usually being in the first half of the card... and not having form over the Distance or Track.. But races where D and CD are available seem to be easier to find a winner.. I dunno just my idea...
I reckon you should keep up with the idea you have... The SR can be a bit of a worry sometimes but my goodness there can be some big divvies at times with your first couple or so in the ratings .
Here is the form for Tactica in that race
12 TACTICA ( 5)
7yo b/br g S G Pollard 54.0KG
Win: 10%
Place: 33% Earnings: $23,710 API: 0.6
Starts:Wins-2nds-3rds
Total: 39: 4- 6- 3 Fast: 0: 0- 0- 0
Dist: 9: 1- 1- 0 Good: 23: 1- 4- 1
Track: 5: 3- 0- 0 Dead: 9: 2- 2- 1
F/Up : 8: 1- 2- 1 Slow: 4: 1- 0- 0
Heavy: 3: 0- 0- 1
Trainer: G A Hulm
Stables: Tumbarumba
Sire: Strategic
Dam: Constant Kariette
Silks: Pale green, brown sash, white
sleeves, pale green and brown cap
Won over: 1(1000) 1(1100) 2(1200)
RATE FP-ST MARG DAY-DATE TRACK DIST CLASS $1000 JOCKEY WGHT TC SP TIME
41.9 5- 9 3.6 Sat23Jul05 Narra 1000 CL4 4 RBensle 54.0 D 20/1 0:59.05
32.4 13-14 17.2 Sat18Jun05 Albur 1175 Open 5 JWhitne 54.0 H 14/1 1:11.57
39.7 8- 8 9.1 Sun 9Jan05 Tumut 1000 CL5 7 TClark 54.0 G 14/1 0:57.20
49.7 6-10 2.5 Sat 1Jan05 Gunda 1180 CL4 4 TClark 54.5 G 3/1 1:08.60
47.9 1- 8 -0.2 Sat20Nov04 Gunda 1000 CL3 5 TClark 54.0 D 15/4 0:59.21