Tend to agree Mr J, certainly with your even-steven assessment.

That said i wonder if SA would be worth backing to win outright at this stage given that

1. They already have two wins on the board
2. They are the current holders
3. Playing as well as the others

The following markets are available outright
NZ @ 1.80 CENTRE
SA @ 2.85 SPORTSBET
AUS @ 6.50 CENTRE

Given that Kelleher is out and Umaga in doubt for Aussie test, plus home ground advantage, the Aussie have to be the value bet @ 2.25 Centre, 2.50 NZ TAB.