12th August 2005, 04:19 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Port Macquarie
Posts: 1,694
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Mr ed
Maybe so XPT, but the one you had rated on top, started favorite, and it's form was very similar to Marqueeta's. You say this was an average lot, the easiest races to pick are the average ones, i think at $3.50 she was a good bet. According to TVN was quite fat in the yard and should be well improved by the run.
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Gday Mr Ed
Ok .. first up... In NSW , the order of fav was reversed.. Marqueeta $3 and my top rater $3.6 BOTH well unders IMHO.. I think this was a dud Maiden race run on a heavy track, and they are asking you take 2/1 about something that is no sure thing?
The reason Marwqueeta didnt figure in my ratings would most probaly be the barrier (it was in 9 when I did the ratings) and so does not attract bonus points, it ran 3rd last start so again does not attract many points.. My top rater was drawn well attracting a bonus, 2nd last start attracting more points, the days between runs was the same.. I think the barrier was the determing factor between the 2 of them... Having said that,, neither of em won... the winner, a first starter from bar 1 with no penalties, I think deserved it's rating..
It is just my opinion, which has no more validity than anyone else's, that these are pretty hard races and I need to be certain b4 jumping in and taking 3 bucks about a maiden runner, and never 1 that I have rated at about 10/1
I jumped in and took $3.9 on a maiden later in the day there that I thought was a chance and lost in on protest... ************ maidens lol |