I don't see ANYWHERE here where you tipped Hawthorn to beat Essendon on Aug12. You never even referred to that match. "BET AGAINST THE CERTAINTY" could mean absolutely anything.

Please feel free to post tips for individual matches if you wish, but just saying people should bet against the favourite says nothing.

Personally, I didn't bet in that Hawthorn/Essendon match because I didn't trust the form of either team. I don't go blindly betting on teams just because statistics suggest they should win. I also have to have some sort of form reasoning behind my selections. That's why I only had a 1 unit bet on Geelong against Melbourne. (really should have left them alone altogether) I had 3 units on Sydney against Brisbane. I thought they were good things although I must admit I would have had 5 units on them if they had played at the SCG.