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Old 15th August 2005, 03:56 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kiwi
Would you share some of the criteria that helped you back the winner.I rated Dance Hero way in front, but unbackable at the odds.

The winner I only rated worth backing on breeding and had it 5 out of 6.Shania Dane must have huge potential to run down DH the way it did

Hi!
The rating's criteria I use are:
CombinedRating (all of the following combined):
Time, Class, Form, Distance, Down_in_Class, Margin, Place%, WIN%, APIRanking.

Shania Dane came second in: Time, Form, Distance, and DownClass,
Came third in: class
Came forth in: Win%, Margin, APIRanking
Came fifth in: Place%
Came in third overall with the rated price of $6.7
The reason it came only third overall is that I give different weighting to each criteria.

I have to point out that my time, class and form ratings are quite different in SOME respects to the conventional ratings.

The down in class relies on MY class ratings so you may come to a different outcome on that one as well.
The Margin is simply the best beaten (or winning) margin of the last three runs.
I only use the last 3 to 5 runs for my ratings, not really interested what the horse has or hasn't done in the distant past.
Incidentally I take no notice of the success on distance indicators coming in the form files, simply because the wins or placings on distance could have happened too far back.
For this I use all the runs of the last two years only, and finishing second or third does not rate as high as the beaten margin.
I use Cyberhorse Zip files.
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