Well here we are 5 minutes after seeing Nadal, the latest statistical "certainty" bite the dust and all those absurdly skinny divvy wins (accepted by fav backers) evaporate into a screaming loss. The advice still stands and WITHstands the test of time; wait until they CAN"T LOSE and then bet that they WILL!!!
What a winning gambler needs is GUTS; guts to bet against the crowd. Nadal was and IS always a risk when he's not on some dinky slooooooooooow Euro-trash clay-court. Ho-hum...and another one's down and another one's gone!!!
Cheers and good luck to those with courage. P57