
17th August 2005, 02:02 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 91
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Well well well. Aren't some of us willing to jump down the throats of others without double checking. If you would take a second to scroll down P57 you might note the following:
The Statistical Certainity tennis syste won with Nadal. Now 3-0 For +.25
At Cinci it picks Federer in r1 & nadal in r2.
NADAL WAS A PICK IN R2 (ROUND 2) Nadals loss was in round 1. Therefore the pick in round2 is void.
To qualify in the tennis statistical certainty system the seed must have a 90% record. The number 2 seed at Cincinatti is 22 for 27 which is 81%. In fact the 2nd seed has now lost 3 of the last 5 years in round 1. I apologize, if my use of r2 for round2 confused anybody.
Caution - the tennis statistical certainity system could be a wealth hazard and is presented here for amusement only.
The system since first presentation is now 4-0 with Federer winning in r1 (ROUND 1) for a profit of +.30.
We should be fair and present the other side of the argument. Betting against the tennis statistical certainity choice which will now be affectiontly named -P57 is now 0-4 for a loss of 4 units.
P57, I actually agree with you, that betting something on the basis of pure history is folly and if you are clever, betting against it will probably bring a profit. I do bet on historical events in tennis. But only when the gentleman involved in the match not only meet the historical conditions but also when my database has a favourable rating.
It is interesting that Federer did lose for the system last year in Cinci after performing well in Canada.
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If you do not mind, I would like you (P57) to desist from implying that I would have selected any short priced fav that losses. I am fully aware that Roddick, Nadal or anyone else is highly suspectible to a r1 loss after winning on the previous Sunday. I accept any criticsm of my selections which I present before the event. I did not pick Roddick in Canada or anywhere allude to that match.
I agree with MR Mad and remind you that your before the match picks are still 0% (0-1). I am also very sure that if Ms Williams had not won Wimbeldon you would not have told us after the event what a clever professor you are.
much love and kisses
Karla
ps if you want to meet the real Karla, she stands 6.5 feet on her hind legs, and has all the charm of a German Shepherd guard dog which she is. I'm sure she would love to meet you. lol
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